Here’s the link to all the data Ryan puts together: georgiavotes.Willis made no explicit mention of Trump during the meeting, but the specific timing is understood to reflect the expected window for indictments after previous indications suggested charging decisions would come during the court term that runs July to September. There were 5,221 people name John (or Jon, or Jonathan) who voted on Monday. Just as a comparison, the counties he's talking about (top-10 by turnout % of total registered voters) had 10,165 total votes on Monday out of the 303,166 total in-person votes cast. Scott Paradise, a Republican operative (I think) was saying that 9 of the 10 counties with the highest turnout so far were solid Republican counties. In fact, yesterday, Anderson provided us with one of the most hilarious Twitter exchanges I’ve seen. Emerson College just came out with a poll that gave Warnock a lead of 51% to 49%.Ī person that should be acknowledged for putting together all this data is Ryan Anderson, who does all of this work without any financial compensation at all. On balance, I would say right now the numbers look solid for our side, but there’s still work to be done. On the Democratic side, we can be happy with Clarke (Athens), Richmond (Augusta) and Muscogee (Columbus) counties, all three of which are at or near 60% of their EV from the general, but Bibb (Macon) and Dougherty (Albany) are looking very low at about 35 to 40% of their EV from the general election. But Cherokee and Coweta counties - two other Republican counties in the Atlanta metro area - have only reached about 30% of their EV from the general. Hall County, a solid Republican county in the Atlanta metro area, has reached 48.6% of its EV from the general. But Taylor County, another fairly solid Republican county, has only reached 19% of its EV from the general. For instance, Appling County, a rock solid Republican rural county, has already surpassed 50% of its EV from the general. Here’s a link to a live map which shows waiting times across Fulton County: So what kind of conclusion can we draw from all of this information? It’s difficult because the numbers are all over the place. Driving an extra 15 minutes could save you two hours of standing in line. If you live in Fulton County or you know someone who does, you might want to urge them to try and vote at the Southwest Arts Center or the Welcome All Park and Rec Center as those polling stations have much shorter lines than most of the other ones. It is my understanding that if you live in Fulton County, you can vote at any of the early voting centers there. Turnout in Cobb, Gwinnett, and Dekalb counties is at or around 50% of their overall EV turnout from the general. And early turnout in Fulton is lagging behind the other three big counties. People drive up, see the long queues, and go home. I know it’s easy to become excited to see how many people are standing in line to cast a vote for Senator Warnock, but I’ve been reading anecdotally online that some voters in Fulton keep delaying showing up at the polls because of the long lines. If I have one concern about the Big Four, it is the long lines at the polls in Fulton County. During the general, the Big Four accounted for 33.6% of all votes cast. And this is only a slight decrease from yesterday, in which they accounted for 38% of all voters during the runoff thus far. As it stands, these four counties currently account for 36.5% of all votes cast, still ahead of their proportion of the population (33%). In terms of the “Big Four” counties of Cobb, Dekalb, Fulton, and Gwinnett, they accounted for 32.7% of all voters yesterday, which matches their combined percentage of population of the state as a whole almost exactly.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |